Irtysh Pavlodar 0-2 Tobol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 16 Aug 2026

Irtysh Pavlodar
0 - 2 HT 0 - 1
Tobol
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2026

Irtysh Pavlodar vs Tobol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.32
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
2.61
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.9
Over
49%
1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.08
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Irtysh Pavlodar v Tobol — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Irtysh Pavlodar The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobol The Market 38%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.29 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.03
1.07 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.55
Bad Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Weak
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4

Irtysh Pavlodar vs Tobol Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irtysh Pavlodar
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Tobol
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
09.05.2026 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 0-0 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar KAZP
21.03.2015 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar 1-1 HT 1-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
25.10.2014 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar 1-1 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
01.05.2014 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar 0-3 HT 0-2 Tobol Tobol KAZP
REVIEW Irtysh Pavlodar vs Tobol
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tobol took care of Irtysh Pavlodar 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Irtysh Pavlodar at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tobol led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Irtysh Pavlodar against 1.50 for Tobol.

Irtysh Pavlodar vs Tobol Result & Final Score

Irtysh Pavlodar 0 - 2 Tobol in the Kazakistan - Super League on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Irtysh Pavlodar vs Tobol Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Irtysh Pavlodar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Irtysh Pavlodar 42%, draw 29%, Tobol 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Irtysh Pavlodar), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Irtysh Pavlodar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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