Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rayo Vallecano v Osasuna — Team-Based Signals
Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Rayo Vallecano 3-1 Osasuna — Actual Match Statistics
Rayo Vallecano saw off Osasuna 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rayo Vallecano as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Rayo Vallecano had 66% of the ball to Osasuna's 34%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.68 to 0.33.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.50 for Osasuna.
What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna?
Rayo Vallecano 3-1 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano 41%, draw 30%, Osasuna 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.