Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Rayo Vallecano v Osasuna — Team-Based Signals
Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Rayo Vallecano 3-1 Osasuna — Actual Match Statistics
Rayo Vallecano had too much for Osasuna 3-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Rayo Vallecano as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (61%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Rayo Vallecano had 66% of the ball to Osasuna's 34%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.68 to 0.33.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.50 for Osasuna.
Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Result & Final Score
Rayo Vallecano 3 - 1 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano 45%, draw 31%, Osasuna 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.