Parma vs Udinese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Parma v Udinese — Team-Based Signals
Parma vs Udinese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Parma 2-3 Udinese — Actual Match Statistics
Udinese squeezed past Parma 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Udinese made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Parma had 47% of the ball to Udinese's 53%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.80 to 2.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Udinese's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parma had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Parma and 1.50 for Udinese.
What was the final score of Parma vs Udinese?
Parma 2-3 Udinese in the Italy - Serie A on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Parma vs Udinese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Parma 37%, draw 28%, Udinese 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Parma) went the other way.