Lazio vs Hellas Verona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lazio v Hellas Verona — Team-Based Signals
Lazio vs Hellas Verona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Lazio 2-1 Hellas Verona — Actual Match Statistics
Lazio edged past Hellas Verona 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lazio as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Lazio had 55% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 45%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.22 to 0.83.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lazio and 1.50 for Hellas Verona.
What was the final score of Lazio vs Hellas Verona?
Lazio 2-1 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lazio vs Hellas Verona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lazio 51%, draw 25%, Hellas Verona 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.