Lazio vs Hellas Verona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lazio v Hellas Verona — Team-Based Signals
Lazio vs Hellas Verona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Lazio
İTA
1-1
HT 0-1
Lazio
İTA
2-0
HT 0-0
Hellas Verona
İTA
3-3
HT 2-2
Hellas Verona
İTA
4-1
HT 2-0
Lazio
İTA
0-1
HT 0-0
Lazio
İTA
Lazio 1-0 Hellas Verona — Actual Match Statistics
Lazio edged past Hellas Verona 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lazio as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Lazio had 69% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 31%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.09 to 0.62.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lazio and 1.50 for Hellas Verona.
What was the final score of Lazio vs Hellas Verona?
Lazio 1-0 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lazio vs Hellas Verona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lazio 51%, draw 27%, Hellas Verona 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.