Juventus 0-0 Milan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 27 Apr 2024

Juventus
0-0 HT 0-0
Milan
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Juventus vs Milan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.65
6+ Goals
11%
15.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.86
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
13%
4.71
X/2
11%
7.19
X/X
7%
4.37
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
14%
5.24
2/X EV+ ✗
13%
13.1
Value flag · 2/X at 13.1 — our 13% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Juventus v Milan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.53/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.52
+31% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 83%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
14.6 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Juventus vs Milan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Milan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 0.90
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
391 Passes 361
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Milan Milan 0-1 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
28.07.2023 Juventus Juventus 2-2 HT 1-2 Milan Milan HAZ
28.05.2023 Juventus Juventus 0-1 HT 0-1 Milan Milan İTA
08.10.2022 Milan Milan 2-0 HT 1-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
23.01.2022 Milan Milan 0-0 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
19.09.2021 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 1-0 Milan Milan İTA

Juventus 0-0 Milan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
0-0
AWAY Milan
1.64 xG 0.31
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 4
398 Passes 393
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
32 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Milan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus and Milan fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Juventus at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Juventus had 51% of the ball to Milan's 49%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.64 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Juventus and 1.00 for Milan.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Milan?

Juventus 0-0 Milan in the Italy - Serie A on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Milan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Juventus 42%, draw 27%, Milan 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Juventus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juventus) ✓ Under 2.5
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