Valur 4-1 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.94
Over 2.5
68%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.32
No
39%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-4.7pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.2pp
32%
Under 2.5
22%
+10.5pp
68%
Over 2.5
78%
-10.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
72%
-11.0pp
39%
BTTS No
28%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.95/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.01
+1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
23.5 Crosses 21.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
4W-1D-1L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.30 xG 1.42
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
323 Passes 303
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.06.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 3-5 HT 2-4 Valur Valur İZL
24.09.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
31.07.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-4 HT 0-2 Valur Valur İZL
07.05.2023 Valur Valur 5-0 HT 2-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
12.02.2023 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 1-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZLK
08.10.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-1 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
4-1
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.53 xG 0.74
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
254 Passes 342
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valur vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur cruised past KR Reykjavik 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Valur had 45% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 55%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.53 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Valur and 1.17 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Valur vs KR Reykjavik?

Valur 4-1 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Valur 53%, draw 24%, KR Reykjavik 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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