Argentinos Juniors 3-0 Newells Old Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.38
Over 2.5
34%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
16%
6.82
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.07
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
12%
15.15
X/1
18%
4.21
X/2
9%
7.16
X/X
11%
3.22
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
11%
6.45
2/X
8%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.2pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
69%
-3.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
31%
+3.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.5pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.45/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.29
+30% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
22.0 Crosses 15.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Argentinos Juniors
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Newells Old Boys
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.18 xG 0.84
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
396 Passes 237
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.04.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
21.06.2022 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-0 HT 1-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
15.02.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 3-0 HT 1-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
27.07.2021 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
26.11.2019 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
30.10.2018 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 2-0 HT 1-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Argentinos Juniors
3-0
AWAY Newells Old Boys
1.42 xG 0.26
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
213 Passes 268
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Argentinos Juniors vs Newells Old Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentinos Juniors ran out comfortable winners over Newells Old Boys 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Argentinos Juniors found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Argentinos Juniors had 45% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 55%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.42 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Argentinos Juniors had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Argentinos Juniors and 0.50 for Newells Old Boys.

What was the final score of Argentinos Juniors vs Newells Old Boys?

Argentinos Juniors 3-0 Newells Old Boys in the Argentina - Premier League on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Argentinos Juniors vs Newells Old Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Argentinos Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Argentinos Juniors 40%, draw 31%, Newells Old Boys 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Argentinos Juniors), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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