Barracas Central 0-1 Banfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Banfield EU Bookmakers 43%
+20% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.20/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.05
+16% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +83%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
226 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
17.2 Crosses 21.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barracas Central
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Banfield
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
0.76 xG 1.23
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
191 Passes 308
61% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.02.2024 Banfield Banfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
20.09.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-0 HT 1-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
30.04.2023 Banfield Banfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
25.06.2022 Banfield Banfield 1-1 HT 0-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barracas Central
0-1
AWAY Banfield
0.69 xG 0.72
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
183 Passes 243
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barracas Central vs Banfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banfield nicked a narrow win over Barracas Central 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Banfield found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Barracas Central had 45% of the ball to Banfield's 55%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.69 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Barracas Central had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Barracas Central and 0.25 for Banfield.

What was the final score of Barracas Central vs Banfield?

Barracas Central 0-1 Banfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barracas Central vs Banfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Banfield win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Barracas Central 34%, draw 29%, Banfield 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banfield), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Banfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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