Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Dnepr Mogilev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.16
Draw
24%
7.13
Away
15%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.51
No
48%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.51
2-3 Goals
36%
2.0
4-5 Goals
27%
2.65
6+ Goals
14%
6.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
28%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
82%
-21.1pp
24%
Draw
12%
+12.4pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
36%
+15.8pp
48%
BTTS No
64%
-15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 8%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
2.60/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.90
+11% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -28%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
458 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Minsk
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.09.2022 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 4-0 HT 3-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
23.04.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
13.10.2014 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLRK
11.06.2014 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 3-0 HT 2-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
30.03.2014 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Minsk
2-0
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
74% Ball Possession 26%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk saw off Dnepr Mogilev 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Minsk as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Minsk had 74% of the ball to Dnepr Mogilev's 26%, shots finished 19-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dinamo Minsk had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Dinamo Minsk and 0.00 for Dnepr Mogilev.

What was the final score of Dinamo Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Dnepr Mogilev in the Belarus - Premier League on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Minsk 61%, draw 24%, Dnepr Mogilev 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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16 Sep 2024
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