FC Minsk 3-1 Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.61
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomel EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
1.33/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.33
+7% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Minsk
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gomel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 Gomel Gomel 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
22.09.2023 Gomel Gomel 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
06.05.2023 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-2 HT 2-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
12.11.2022 FC Minsk FC Minsk 1-1 HT 0-1 Gomel Gomel BLR
15.07.2022 Gomel Gomel 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
17.10.2021 FC Minsk FC Minsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Minsk
3-1
AWAY Gomel
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Minsk vs Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Minsk saw off Gomel 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day FC Minsk made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, FC Minsk had 47% of the ball to Gomel's 53%, shots finished 8-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gomel led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Minsk and 1.17 for Gomel.

What was the final score of FC Minsk vs Gomel?

FC Minsk 3-1 Gomel in the Belarus - Premier League on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Minsk vs Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Minsk 37%, draw 28%, Gomel 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Minsk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Minsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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