Gomel 2-0 FC Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.0pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gomel EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
2.22/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.12
+17% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gomel
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FC Minsk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2023 Gomel Gomel 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
06.05.2023 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-2 HT 2-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
12.11.2022 FC Minsk FC Minsk 1-1 HT 0-1 Gomel Gomel BLR
15.07.2022 Gomel Gomel 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
17.10.2021 FC Minsk FC Minsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
30.05.2021 Gomel Gomel 5-0 HT 2-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gomel
2-0
AWAY FC Minsk
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Gomel vs FC Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gomel saw off FC Minsk 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gomel as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gomel had 56% of the ball to FC Minsk's 44%, shots finished 22-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gomel had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gomel and 1.00 for FC Minsk.

What was the final score of Gomel vs FC Minsk?

Gomel 2-0 FC Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gomel vs FC Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gomel 52%, draw 23%, FC Minsk 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gomel), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gomel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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