America de Cali 1-0 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-12.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.9pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.53/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.12
+2% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
17.0 Crosses 12.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.08
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 Passes 218
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
01.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-4 HT 2-2 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
25.04.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
16.09.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
28.01.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
21.11.2021 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-5 HT 1-3 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.45 xG 0.38
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
228 Passes 308
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 7
8 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali squeezed past Deportivo Pereira 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, America de Cali had 43% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 57%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.45 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for America de Cali and 1.33 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Deportivo Pereira?

America de Cali 1-0 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 47%, draw 29%, Deportivo Pereira 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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