La Equidad 1-3 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.6pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.5pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
0.84/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.83
-15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
11.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
13.8 Crosses 17.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Millonarios
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.81 xG 0.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
254 Passes 349
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-2 HT 1-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
09.11.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 2-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
02.10.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
09.04.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
31.10.2021 Millonarios Millonarios 0-1 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
13.02.2021 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
1-3
AWAY Millonarios
0.37 xG 1.79
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
254 Passes 274
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
9 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios got the better of La Equidad 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Equidad had 48% of the ball to Millonarios's 52%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.37 to 1.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for La Equidad and 0.67 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Millonarios?

La Equidad 1-3 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 30%, draw 29%, Millonarios 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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