Kauno Zalgiris II 0-2 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
31%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
36%
+10.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
40%
-9.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.7pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 45%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
2.28/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
+57% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -68%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
305 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hegelmann II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29.04.2024 Hegelmann II 0-3 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
0-2
AWAY Hegelmann II
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann II got the better of Kauno Zalgiris II 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kauno Zalgiris II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 62% of the ball to Hegelmann II's 38%, shots finished 17-12.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Hegelmann II?

Kauno Zalgiris II 0-2 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 46%, draw 22%, Hegelmann II 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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