Hegelmann II 0-3 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 29 Apr 2024

Hegelmann II
0-3 HT 0-1
Kauno Zalgiris II
📅29/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Hegelmann II vs Kauno Zalgiris II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.33
Over 2.5
48%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.49
No
57%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
39%
+12.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
61%
-12.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
63%
-20.3pp
57%
BTTS No
37%
+20.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hegelmann II v Kauno Zalgiris II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.8
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs Kauno Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II cruised past Hegelmann II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hegelmann II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Hegelmann II 0-3 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 41%, draw 25%, Kauno Zalgiris II 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Hegelmann II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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