FK BANGA II 1-2 Panevezys II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK BANGA II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 49%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
2.06/2.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.70
+63% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -64%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK BANGA II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Panevezys II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
12.09.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 4-2 HT 2-1 FK BANGA II LIT1
16.05.2022 FK BANGA II 3-2 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
POST-MATCH FK BANGA II vs Panevezys II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panevezys II squeezed past FK BANGA II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Panevezys II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FK BANGA II and 3.00 for Panevezys II.

What was the final score of FK BANGA II vs Panevezys II?

FK BANGA II 1-2 Panevezys II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK BANGA II vs Panevezys II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panevezys II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FK BANGA II 33%, draw 23%, Panevezys II 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panevezys II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panevezys II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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