Export Sebaco 3-0 UNAN Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.1pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
1.89/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.72
+32% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Export Sebaco
3W-1D-2L
AWAY UNAN Managua
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-1 HT 1-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
27.11.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 5-1 HT 3-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
19.09.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 5-0 HT 4-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
06.04.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-2 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
13.02.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-1 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
27.10.2022 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-0 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
POST-MATCH Export Sebaco vs UNAN Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco cruised past UNAN Managua 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Export Sebaco as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Export Sebaco and 1.50 for UNAN Managua.

What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs UNAN Managua?

Export Sebaco 3-0 UNAN Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs UNAN Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Export Sebaco win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 44%, draw 26%, UNAN Managua 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Export Sebaco), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Export Sebaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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