Aalesund 2-0 Sandnes Ulf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.53
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
31%
2.65
6+ Goals
11%
6.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.4pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.2pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandnes Ulf EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
2.35/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.18
+13% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sandnes Ulf
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2024 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 0-2 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
24.10.2021 Aalesund Aalesund 2-2 HT 1-1 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
05.07.2021 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 0-0 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
24.08.2019 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 1-2 HT 0-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
30.06.2019 Aalesund Aalesund 3-1 HT 1-0 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
22.07.2018 Aalesund Aalesund 4-0 HT 1-0 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Sandnes Ulf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund saw off Sandnes Ulf 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aalesund as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalesund had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Aalesund and 0.67 for Sandnes Ulf.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Sandnes Ulf?

Aalesund 2-0 Sandnes Ulf in the Norway - 1st Division on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Sandnes Ulf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 58%, draw 22%, Sandnes Ulf 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aalesund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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