Stabaek 1-2 Raufoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.57
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.61
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.53
No
36%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.87
2-3 Goals
39%
2.05
4-5 Goals
27%
2.59
6+ Goals
15%
5.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
60%
-15.3pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.7pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.7pp
64%
BTTS Yes
61%
+2.4pp
36%
BTTS No
39%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Raufoss EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.92/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.39
-8% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +34%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
382 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stabaek
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Raufoss
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
20.07.2024 Raufoss Raufoss 0-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
02.02.2024 Raufoss Raufoss 0-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek HAZ
26.01.2024 Raufoss Raufoss 2-3 HT 1-3 Stabaek Stabaek HAZ
12.09.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 2-0 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
22.05.2022 Raufoss Raufoss 0-4 HT 0-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stabaek
1-2
AWAY Raufoss
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stabaek vs Raufoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raufoss edged past Stabaek 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stabaek at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Stabaek had 63% of the ball to Raufoss's 37%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stabaek had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Stabaek and 0.40 for Raufoss.

What was the final score of Stabaek vs Raufoss?

Stabaek 1-2 Raufoss in the Norway - 1st Division on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek vs Raufoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stabaek 44%, draw 27%, Raufoss 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stabaek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stabaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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