Raufoss 2-3 Stabaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.22
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
25%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
77%
-23.5pp
22%
Draw
15%
+6.7pp
25%
Away Win
8%
+16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -44%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
489 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raufoss
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Stabaek
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
12.09.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 2-0 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
22.05.2022 Raufoss Raufoss 0-4 HT 0-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raufoss
2-3
AWAY Stabaek
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Stabaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek edged past Raufoss 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Raufoss at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Raufoss had 47% of the ball to Stabaek's 53%, shots finished 16-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stabaek led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Raufoss and 3.00 for Stabaek.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Stabaek?

Raufoss 2-3 Stabaek in the Friendlies on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Stabaek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raufoss win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 53%, draw 22%, Stabaek 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Raufoss) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Raufoss) ✓ Over 2.5
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