26/01/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Ried vs NK Bravo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.42
— our 29% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
26%
Draw
26%
33%
Away Win
36%
54%
Under 2.5
41%
46%
Over 2.5
59%
48%
BTTS Yes
63%
52%
BTTS No
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ried v NK Bravo — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ried
EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
NK Bravo
EU Bookmakers 40%
-51% /
-51%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+50% /
+50%
0.76/2.55
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/0.00
-50%
/
-53%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+59%
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
349 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
398 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ried vs NK Bravo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ried edged past NK Bravo 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ried as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Ried vs NK Bravo?
Ried 2-1 NK Bravo in the Friendlies on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ried vs NK Bravo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ried 41%, draw 26%, NK Bravo 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ried) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Ried)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
26 Jan 2024