Club Olimpia 4-3 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 24%
-12% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.75/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.44
+7% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Olimpia
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-2 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
03.03.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
08.11.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 2-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
27.08.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
13.04.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
31.01.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 2-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Olimpia
4-3
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Olimpia edged past Sportivo Luqueno 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club Olimpia had 59% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 41%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Olimpia had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Club Olimpia and 0.50 for Sportivo Luqueno.

What was the final score of Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Club Olimpia 4-3 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Club Olimpia 49%, draw 26%, Sportivo Luqueno 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Olimpia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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