CD Feirense 2-0 Paços De Ferreira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.1
6+ Goals
11%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.45/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.23
+14% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.5 Crosses 18.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Feirense
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.38 xG 1.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
275 Passes 300
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2024 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
01.10.2023 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-0 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
19.12.2018 CD Feirense CD Feirense 0-0 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POK
29.01.2018 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 2-1 HT 1-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR
21.08.2017 CD Feirense CD Feirense 2-1 HT 1-1 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR
06.05.2017 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Feirense
2-0
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
0.94 xG 0.56
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 6
238 Passes 375
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
6 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CD Feirense vs Paços De Ferreira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Feirense got the better of Paços De Ferreira 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day CD Feirense made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, CD Feirense had 43% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira's 57%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 0.94 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Feirense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CD Feirense and 0.67 for Paços De Ferreira.

What was the final score of CD Feirense vs Paços De Ferreira?

CD Feirense 2-0 Paços De Ferreira in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Feirense vs Paços De Ferreira?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Feirense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CD Feirense 38%, draw 27%, Paços De Ferreira 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Feirense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Feirense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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