UTA Arad 1-1 Hermannstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 16 Sep 2024

UTA Arad
1-1 HT 0-0
Hermannstadt
📅16/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Romania - 1st Division – 2024/2025

UTA Arad vs Hermannstadt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 28% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UTA Arad v Hermannstadt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.16/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.42
-16% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

UTA Arad vs Hermannstadt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hermannstadt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 0.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
366 Passes 370
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.04.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-3 HT 0-1 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
02.12.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-0 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
29.07.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 2-1 HT 0-1 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
02.05.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-0 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
18.02.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
17.09.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-2 HT 1-1 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM

UTA Arad 1-1 Hermannstadt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
1-1
AWAY Hermannstadt
1.39 xG 1.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
497 Passes 441
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs Hermannstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad and Hermannstadt shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, UTA Arad had 52% of the ball to Hermannstadt's 48%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.39 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hermannstadt led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UTA Arad and 1.17 for Hermannstadt.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs Hermannstadt?

UTA Arad 1-1 Hermannstadt in the Romania - 1st Division on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs Hermannstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTA Arad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 39%, draw 28%, Hermannstadt 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UTA Arad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UTA Arad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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