Arsenal Tula 1-0 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 16 Sep 2024

Arsenal Tula
1-0 HT 0-0
Ural
📅16/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Russia - FNL – 2024/2025

Arsenal Tula vs Ural Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.38
Over 2.5
33%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
25%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.0pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
69%
-1.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
31%
+1.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.6pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal Tula v Ural — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-40% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.0 Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards –

Arsenal Tula vs Ural Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Tula
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ural
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.97 xG 1.22
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
336 Passes 354
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
21.05.2022 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-2 HT 1-2 Ural Ural RUS
27.09.2021 Ural Ural 2-0 HT 2-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
04.04.2021 Ural Ural 2-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
18.10.2020 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 1-0 Ural Ural RUS
15.07.2020 Ural Ural 1-3 HT 1-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
30.10.2019 Ural Ural 2-2 HT 2-2 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUK

Arsenal Tula 1-0 Ural — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Tula
1-0
AWAY Ural
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal Tula vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula edged past Ural 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 34%) promised a tight game; Arsenal Tula found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal Tula had 52% of the ball to Ural's 48%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ural led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Arsenal Tula and 1.50 for Ural.

What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Ural?

Arsenal Tula 1-0 Ural in the Russia - FNL on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 33%, draw 33%, Ural 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ural) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ural) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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