Torpedo Moscow 2-1 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.3pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 36%
+14% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.49/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.94
+33% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Moscow
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2022 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-2 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
05.09.2021 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
29.11.2020 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
22.08.2020 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
31.10.2019 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUK
27.10.2019 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-1 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Moscow
2-1
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torpedo Moscow vs Baltika Kaliningrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Moscow squeezed past Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Torpedo Moscow made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torpedo Moscow had 51% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 49%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Moscow had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Torpedo Moscow and 0.83 for Baltika Kaliningrad.

What was the final score of Torpedo Moscow vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Torpedo Moscow 2-1 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - FNL on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Moscow vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Moscow 37%, draw 30%, Baltika Kaliningrad 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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