Express 2-1 Kiboga Young — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.47
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.33
No
47%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
64%
-15.2pp
31%
Draw
23%
+8.0pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
39%
+14.2pp
47%
BTTS No
61%
-14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Express EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Kiboga Young EU Bookmakers 16%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-36% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
438 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Express
2-1
AWAY Kiboga Young
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Express vs Kiboga Young
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Express squeezed past Kiboga Young 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Express as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Express had 59% of the ball to Kiboga Young's 41%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Express vs Kiboga Young?

Express 2-1 Kiboga Young in the Uganda - Premier League on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Express vs Kiboga Young?

Before kick-off our model rated a Express win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Express 49%, draw 31%, Kiboga Young 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Express), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Express) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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