SC Villa vs Mbarara City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SC Villa v Mbarara City — Team-Based Signals
SC Villa vs Mbarara City Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
SC Villa
UGA
SC Villa 4-2 Mbarara City — Actual Match Statistics
SC Villa saw off Mbarara City 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SC Villa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, SC Villa had 55% of the ball to Mbarara City's 45%, shots finished 16-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SC Villa and 1.00 for Mbarara City.
What was the final score of SC Villa vs Mbarara City?
SC Villa 4-2 Mbarara City in the Uganda - Premier League on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SC Villa vs Mbarara City?
Before kick-off our model rated a SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 45%, draw 35%, Mbarara City 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SC Villa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.