Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 16 Sep 2024

Montevideo Wanderers
0-2
Nacional de Football
📅16/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
53%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montevideo Wanderers v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.01/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.94
+14% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
265 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.0 Crosses –
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nacional de Football
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
27.11.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-1 HT 3-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
25.04.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
21.08.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
21.03.2022 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
22.10.2021 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU

Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
0-2
AWAY Nacional de Football
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football saw off Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 45% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 55%, shots finished 7-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.83 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional de Football?

Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 23%, draw 24%, Nacional de Football 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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