Carabobo 3-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
23%
2.94
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
30%
-7.0pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+8.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +9%
1.17/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.43
-8% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
17.5 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 0.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
384 Passes 330
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.03.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
16.07.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
30.04.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 3-2 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
04.07.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 3-2 HT 2-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
23.05.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
03.10.2021 Carabobo Carabobo 1-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
3-1
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.12 xG 1.10
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
362 Passes 355
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 9
5 Crosses 20
7 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo saw off Deportivo La Guaira 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Carabobo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carabobo had 49% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 51%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.12 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Carabobo and 1.33 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Carabobo 3-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 38%, draw 23%, Deportivo La Guaira 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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