Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 20 Mar 2024

📅20/03/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.1pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.42/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.15
+13% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 73%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
22.9 Crosses 13.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Carabobo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.99 xG 1.45
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
315 Passes 410
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 36
5 Yellow Cards 2
16.07.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
30.04.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 3-2 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
04.07.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 3-2 HT 2-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
23.05.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
03.10.2021 Carabobo Carabobo 1-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
15.08.2021 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
0-0
AWAY Carabobo
0.07 xG 0.38
52% Ball Possession 48%
2 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
360 Passes 331
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira and Carabobo fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 52% of the ball to Carabobo's 48%, shots finished 2-8, expected goals 0.07 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.83 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo?

Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 39%, draw 28%, Carabobo 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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