Portuguesa FC 3-1 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 20 Mar 2024

Portuguesa FC
3-1 HT 1-0
Metropolitanos
📅20/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
26%
2.77
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
32%
-6.0pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portuguesa FC v Metropolitanos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.64/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.41
-16% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
28.5 Crosses 16.7
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.1

Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portuguesa FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Metropolitanos
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.09 xG 0.57
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
306 Passes 214
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 8
29 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.06.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-1 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
21.05.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
24.07.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
02.05.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
24.11.2021 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
03.11.2021 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN

Portuguesa FC 3-1 Metropolitanos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
3-1
AWAY Metropolitanos
2.02 xG 0.70
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
279 Passes 269
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa FC beat Metropolitanos 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Portuguesa FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 51% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 49%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 2.02 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Portuguesa FC and 0.50 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos?

Portuguesa FC 3-1 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portuguesa FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 40%, draw 26%, Metropolitanos 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portuguesa FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portuguesa FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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