Rayo Zuliano 0-1 Hermanos Colmenarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 20 Mar 2024

📅20/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.9pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 33%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.94/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.52
+41% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
16.4 Crosses 13.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Zuliano
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.07 xG 0.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
312 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.07.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-3 HT 1-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
29.04.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 1-1 HT 1-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Zuliano
0-1
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
1.05 xG 0.24
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
417 Passes 142
86% Pass Accuracy 62%
24 Box Touches 2
28 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rayo Zuliano vs Hermanos Colmenarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermanos Colmenarez edged past Rayo Zuliano 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rayo Zuliano at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Rayo Zuliano had 68% of the ball to Hermanos Colmenarez's 32%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.05 to 0.24 — the balance of chances actually favoured Rayo Zuliano.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rayo Zuliano had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rayo Zuliano and 1.00 for Hermanos Colmenarez.

What was the final score of Rayo Zuliano vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Rayo Zuliano 0-1 Hermanos Colmenarez in the Venezuela - Premier League on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Zuliano vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Zuliano win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rayo Zuliano 46%, draw 25%, Hermanos Colmenarez 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rayo Zuliano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Zuliano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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