Naxxar Lions 2-3 Tarxien Rainbows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 16 Sep 2025

📅16/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.85
No
43%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
50%
+7.4pp
43%
BTTS No
50%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Tarxien Rainbows EU Bookmakers 40%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+98% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Naxxar Lions vs Tarxien Rainbows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tarxien Rainbows squeezed past Naxxar Lions 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Tarxien Rainbows made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Naxxar Lions vs Tarxien Rainbows?

Naxxar Lions 2-3 Tarxien Rainbows in the Malta - Premier League on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naxxar Lions vs Tarxien Rainbows?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tarxien Rainbows win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Naxxar Lions 34%, draw 26%, Tarxien Rainbows 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tarxien Rainbows), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tarxien Rainbows) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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