Floriana 0-2 Valletta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 16 Sep 2025

📅16/09/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.68
Over 2.5
33%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.1pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
56%
+11.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
44%
-11.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.5pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Valletta EU Bookmakers 32%
+21% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.32/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.89
-1% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Valletta
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Valletta Valletta 0-2 HT 0-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
03.12.2023 Floriana Floriana 1-0 HT 0-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
29.01.2023 Valletta Valletta 0-0 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
10.09.2022 Floriana Floriana 1-0 HT 0-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
17.01.2022 Valletta Valletta 0-2 HT 0-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
0-2
AWAY Valletta
42% Ball Possession 58%
1 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Valletta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valletta beat Floriana 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 29%) promised a tight game; Valletta found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Floriana had 42% of the ball to Valletta's 58%, shots finished 1-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Floriana had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Floriana and 0.00 for Valletta.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Valletta?

Floriana 0-2 Valletta in the Malta - Premier League on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Valletta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Floriana 38%, draw 33%, Valletta 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Floriana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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