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Arsenal (K) vs Valerenga (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal (K) v Valerenga (K) — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal (K) 4-1 Valerenga (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal (K) swept aside Valerenga (K) 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Arsenal (K) had 72% of the ball to Valerenga (K)'s 28%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.99 to 0.79.
What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Valerenga (K)?
Arsenal (K) 4-1 Valerenga (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Valerenga (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 64%, draw 19%, Valerenga (K) 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.