Juventus (K) 0-2 Bayern München (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 16 Oct 2024

📅16/10/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.45
Away Pick
57%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
2.33
Over
45%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
43%
4-5
18%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Bayern München (K) win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
27%
-6.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
58%
Away Win
47%
+10.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
39%
+16.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
61%
-16.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.7pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.59/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.40
+80% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -48%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
6.0 Crosses 21.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus (K)
0-2
AWAY Bayern München (K)
1.01 xG 1.68
27% Ball Possession 73%
16 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
216 Passes 745
76% Pass Accuracy 91%
28 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Juventus (K) vs Bayern München (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) got the better of Juventus (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Juventus (K) had 27% of the ball to Bayern München (K)'s 73%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.01 to 1.68.

What was the final score of Juventus (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Juventus (K) 0-2 Bayern München (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Juventus (K) 21%, draw 22%, Bayern München (K) 58%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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