Kanada 2-1 Panama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Oct 2024

📅16/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
2.0
Over
41%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.76
2-3
42%
1.82
4-5
18%
3.24
6+
9%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.76 — our 31% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-4.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.0pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanada EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Panama EU Bookmakers 21%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.47/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.62
+0% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
18.0 Crosses 13.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kanada
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Panama
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.12 xG 0.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 Passes 375
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
16.06.2023 Panama Panama 0-2 HT 0-1 Kanada Kanada CON
31.03.2022 Panama Panama 1-0 HT 0-0 Kanada Kanada DKE
14.10.2021 Kanada Kanada 4-1 HT 1-1 Panama Panama DKE
19.11.2014 Panama Panama 0-0 HT 0-0 Kanada Kanada HAZ
14.07.2013 Panama Panama 0-0 HT 0-0 Kanada Kanada GK
15.06.2011 Kanada Kanada 1-1 HT 0-0 Panama Panama GK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanada
2-1
AWAY Panama
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
318 Passes 249
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
POST-MATCH Kanada vs Panama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada nicked a narrow win over Panama 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kanada as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kanada had 54% of the ball to Panama's 46%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kanada had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kanada and 0.50 for Panama.

What was the final score of Kanada vs Panama?

Kanada 2-1 Panama in the Friendlies on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanada vs Panama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kanada win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kanada 56%, draw 24%, Panama 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kanada) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kanada) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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