Meksika 2-0 ABD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Oct 2024

Meksika
2-0 HT 1-0
ABD
📅16/10/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.6
Over
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.48
2-3
39%
1.78
4-5
20%
4.79
6+
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.03
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
18%
4.26
X/2
11%
6.41
X/X
14%
4.12
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
9%
5.3
2/X
8%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meksika EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY ABD EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.34/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.76
+2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
20.6 Crosses 9.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meksika
0W-2D-4L
AWAY ABD
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.96 xG 1.29
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
388 Passes 298
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.03.2024 ABD ABD 2-0 HT 1-0 Meksika Meksika CON
16.06.2023 ABD ABD 3-0 HT 1-0 Meksika Meksika CON
20.04.2023 ABD ABD 1-1 HT 0-0 Meksika Meksika HAZ
25.03.2022 Meksika Meksika 0-0 HT 0-0 ABD ABD DKE
13.11.2021 ABD ABD 2-0 HT 0-0 Meksika Meksika DKE
02.08.2021 ABD ABD 1-0 HT 0-0 Meksika Meksika GK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meksika
2-0
AWAY ABD
0.95 xG 0.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
265 Passes 303
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Meksika vs ABD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meksika saw off ABD 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Meksika as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Meksika had 47% of the ball to ABD's 53%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 0.95 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Meksika and 1.50 for ABD.

What was the final score of Meksika vs ABD?

Meksika 2-0 ABD in the Friendlies on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meksika vs ABD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meksika win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Meksika 44%, draw 29%, ABD 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meksika), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Meksika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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