ABD 2-0 Meksika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 25 Mar 2024

ABD
2-0 HT 1-0
Meksika
📅25/03/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
CONCACAF Champions League – 2023/2024

ABD vs Meksika Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.03
No
63%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.39
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.02
6+ Goals
6%
29.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.39 — our 42% vs market 35.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.4pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
45%
-8.3pp
63%
BTTS No
55%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ABD v Meksika — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Meksika EU Bookmakers 33%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.16/0.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/2.44
+133% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -58%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.0
17.0 Crosses 24.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

ABD vs Meksika Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Meksika
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.52 xG 1.21
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 Passes 423
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.06.2023 ABD ABD 3-0 HT 1-0 Meksika Meksika CON
20.04.2023 ABD ABD 1-1 HT 0-0 Meksika Meksika HAZ
25.03.2022 Meksika Meksika 0-0 HT 0-0 ABD ABD DKE
13.11.2021 ABD ABD 2-0 HT 0-0 Meksika Meksika DKE
02.08.2021 ABD ABD 1-0 HT 0-0 Meksika Meksika GK
07.06.2021 ABD ABD 3-2 HT 1-1 Meksika Meksika CON

ABD 2-0 Meksika — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD
2-0
AWAY Meksika
1.05 xG 0.68
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
282 Passes 233
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ABD vs Meksika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD saw off Meksika 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had ABD as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ABD had 53% of the ball to Meksika's 47%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.05 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for ABD and 0.50 for Meksika.

What was the final score of ABD vs Meksika?

ABD 2-0 Meksika in the CONCACAF Champions League on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD vs Meksika?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split ABD 43%, draw 30%, Meksika 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ABD) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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25 Mar 2024
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