Jamaika 1-0 Panama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 25 Mar 2024

📅25/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.18
6+ Goals
10%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jamaika EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Panama EU Bookmakers 43%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.83/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.75
-32% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +38%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
12.0 Crosses 25.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jamaika
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Panama
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.01 xG 1.39
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
210 Passes 401
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
31.01.2022 Panama Panama 3-2 HT 1-1 Jamaika Jamaika DKE
06.09.2021 Jamaika Jamaika 0-3 HT 0-2 Panama Panama DKE
01.07.2019 Jamaika Jamaika 1-0 HT 0-0 Panama Panama GK
03.09.2016 Panama Panama 2-0 HT 1-0 Jamaika Jamaika DKE
14.11.2015 Jamaika Jamaika 0-2 HT 0-1 Panama Panama DKE
07.09.2013 Panama Panama 0-0 HT 0-0 Jamaika Jamaika DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jamaika
1-0
AWAY Panama
0.84 xG 0.81
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
256 Passes 468
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jamaika vs Panama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamaika nicked a narrow win over Panama 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Jamaika found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Jamaika had 38% of the ball to Panama's 62%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.84 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panama led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Jamaika and 1.67 for Panama.

What was the final score of Jamaika vs Panama?

Jamaika 1-0 Panama in the CONCACAF Champions League on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jamaika vs Panama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panama win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jamaika 34%, draw 27%, Panama 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Panama), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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