FC Astana 3-0 Shakhter Karagandy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 16 Oct 2024

📅16/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.22
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
77%
-6.6pp
15%
Draw
14%
+1.1pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+5.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
2.45/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.83
+10% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
442 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Astana
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
29.10.2023 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
04.03.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 2-1 HT 2-1 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
06.11.2022 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 2-3 HT 1-2 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
15.07.2022 FC Astana FC Astana 5-2 HT 3-1 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZKK
05.03.2022 FC Astana FC Astana 0-3 HT 0-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Shakhter Karagandy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana swept aside Shakhter Karagandy 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Astana as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Astana and 1.67 for Shakhter Karagandy.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Shakhter Karagandy?

FC Astana 3-0 Shakhter Karagandy in the Kazakistan - Super League on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 71%, draw 15%, Shakhter Karagandy 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Astana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →