Nasarawa United 3-0 Abia Warriors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 16 Oct 2024

📅16/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.44
Over 2.5
33%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.75
No
63%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
66%
+0.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
34%
-0.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
32%
+4.7pp
63%
BTTS No
68%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Abia Warriors EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.73/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.72
+6% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -19%
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nasarawa United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Abia Warriors
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.02.2022 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 1-1 HT 1-0 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
28.03.2021 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 5-3 HT 2-2 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nasarawa United
3-0
AWAY Abia Warriors
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Nasarawa United vs Abia Warriors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nasarawa United swept aside Abia Warriors 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nasarawa United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

On the day, Nasarawa United had 47% of the ball to Abia Warriors's 53%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nasarawa United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Nasarawa United and 2.00 for Abia Warriors.

What was the final score of Nasarawa United vs Abia Warriors?

Nasarawa United 3-0 Abia Warriors in the Nigeria NPFL on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nasarawa United vs Abia Warriors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nasarawa United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nasarawa United 49%, draw 28%, Abia Warriors 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nasarawa United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nasarawa United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
16 Oct 2024
00:00 Lobi Stars vs El Kanemi Warriors Analysis →
00:00 Enyimba vs Niger Tornadoes Analysis →
17:00 Enugu Rangers vs Kano Pillars Analysis →
18:00 Kwara United vs Sunshine Stars Analysis →