Kwara United 3-0 Sunshine Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 16 Oct 2024

Kwara United
3-0 HT 2-0
Sunshine Stars
📅16/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2024/2025

Kwara United vs Sunshine Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
49%
+5.9pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.9pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.7pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kwara United v Sunshine Stars — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kwara United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Stars EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.13/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/1.41
-15% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Kwara United vs Sunshine Stars Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kwara United
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Sunshine Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 1-1 HT 1-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
20.02.2022 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
27.06.2021 Kwara United Kwara United 1-0 HT 1-0 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars NIJ
07.02.2021 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 1-2 HT 0-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
POST-MATCH Kwara United vs Sunshine Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kwara United ran out comfortable winners over Sunshine Stars 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kwara United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kwara United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kwara United and 0.75 for Sunshine Stars.

What was the final score of Kwara United vs Sunshine Stars?

Kwara United 3-0 Sunshine Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kwara United vs Sunshine Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kwara United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kwara United 55%, draw 25%, Sunshine Stars 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kwara United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kwara United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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