Sunshine Stars 1-1 Kwara United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 18 Feb 2024

Sunshine Stars
1-1 HT 1-0
Kwara United
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2023/2024

Sunshine Stars vs Kwara United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
11%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
72%
-6.5pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.2pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sunshine Stars v Kwara United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Stars EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Kwara United EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.92/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.42
+14% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +12%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sunshine Stars vs Kwara United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunshine Stars
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Kwara United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
20.02.2022 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
27.06.2021 Kwara United Kwara United 1-0 HT 1-0 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars NIJ
07.02.2021 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 1-2 HT 0-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
POST-MATCH Sunshine Stars vs Kwara United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunshine Stars and Kwara United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Sunshine Stars carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kwara United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sunshine Stars and 1.00 for Kwara United.

What was the final score of Sunshine Stars vs Kwara United?

Sunshine Stars 1-1 Kwara United in the Nigeria NPFL on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Stars vs Kwara United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunshine Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Stars 66%, draw 23%, Kwara United 11%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sunshine Stars) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
18 Feb 2024
18:00 Plateau United vs Lobi Stars Analysis →
18:00 Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance Analysis →