Sporting Lagos 1-0 Bendel Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.96
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
17%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
No
65%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
47%
+9.1pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.6pp
17%
Away Win
22%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Lagos EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Lagos
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bendel Insurance
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
20.01.2024 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance 3-1 HT 2-0 Sporting Lagos NIJ
POST-MATCH Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Lagos edged past Bendel Insurance 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Lagos as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance?

Sporting Lagos 1-0 Bendel Insurance in the Nigeria NPFL on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Lagos win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sporting Lagos 56%, draw 27%, Bendel Insurance 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Lagos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Lagos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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