Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zaglebie Sosnowiec v Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Team-Based Signals
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-6 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Actual Match Statistics
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki swept aside Zaglebie Sosnowiec 6-2 away from home. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Zaglebie Sosnowiec at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had 50% of the ball to Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's 50%, shots finished 10-12.
What was the final score of Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-6 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Poland - 2nd Division on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Sosnowiec win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Sosnowiec 41%, draw 26%, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 33%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec), Under 2.5 went the other way.