SKRA Czestochowa 1-2 Polonia Bytom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 16 Oct 2024

📅16/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
24%
4.08
Away Pick
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.15
Over
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.13
2-3
43%
1.86
4-5
24%
3.04
6+
9%
9.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.13 — our 24% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Polonia Bytom win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
57%
Away Win
61%
-4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 66%
+23% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.14/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-8% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -34%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
234 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKRA Czestochowa
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Polonia Bytom
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.02.2024 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 2-1 HT 1-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
17.02.2024 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 2-2 HT 1-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
13.08.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-1 HT 0-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
04.08.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
POST-MATCH SKRA Czestochowa vs Polonia Bytom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom squeezed past SKRA Czestochowa 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Polonia Bytom as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for SKRA Czestochowa and 1.25 for Polonia Bytom.

What was the final score of SKRA Czestochowa vs Polonia Bytom?

SKRA Czestochowa 1-2 Polonia Bytom in the Poland - 2nd Division on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKRA Czestochowa vs Polonia Bytom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split SKRA Czestochowa 19%, draw 24%, Polonia Bytom 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Bytom), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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