One Knoxville 2-1 Central Valley Fuego — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 16 Oct 2024

📅16/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+1.4pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.7pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Valley Fuego EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -4%
2.26/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.66
-4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 78%
34.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
22.0 Crosses 17.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Central Valley Fuego
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.97 xG 0.70
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
327 Passes 243
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
18.05.2024 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-2 HT 0-1 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
30.07.2023 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-1 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
01.05.2023 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-1 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
13.04.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-1 HT 1-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Central Valley Fuego
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville squeezed past Central Valley Fuego 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, One Knoxville had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for One Knoxville and 0.25 for Central Valley Fuego.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Central Valley Fuego?

One Knoxville 2-1 Central Valley Fuego in the USA - USL League 1 on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Central Valley Fuego?

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 55%, draw 19%, Central Valley Fuego 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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